Return Series (money-weighted)
The Return series is EquityTruth's money-weighted equity curve: each point is the account's cumulative compounded return as a percentage of running balance. Deposits and withdrawals move the denominator, so the number reflects what actually happened to your money — including the timing of cashflows.
- Computed from
- Data series
- Scope
- Single report
- Range
- Any real number
- Direction
- Context-dependent
Variants: close-to-closelow-to-low
The Return series is EquityTruth's money-weighted equity curve — the one that answers "what actually happened to the money in this account, as a percentage." (Money-weighted means each trade's percentage is measured against your balance at that moment, so the more money in the account, the smaller each trade's % impact.) Most equity metrics (CAGR, Sharpe, drawdown) are computed on it by default. Its defining trait: deposits and withdrawals move it, because they change the balance your return is measured against. That isn't a flaw — it's the right answer to "what did my money actually do." It only becomes the wrong tool when you're judging the strategy in isolation (independent of when you funded it); for that, use the TWR series.
How it's built
base_i = cumulative_cashflows_before_i + cumulative_net_pnl_before_i r_i = net_pnl_i / base_i Return = (∏(1 + r_i) − 1) × 100%
- net_pnl_i
- trade i's net profit — gross profit plus commission and swap (the overnight financing charge), both normally negative, so "net" = after costs
- base_i
- the running balance BEFORE trade i — deposits + realized P&L so far
- r_i
- trade i's return as a fraction of the balance it was risked against
- ∏
- the product symbol — multiply all the (1 + rᵢ) terms together; that multiplication is the compounding
r_i is floored at −99.9% to keep the log well-defined; if the base ever goes ≤ 0 it is forced to 1.0.Because the return of each trade is divided by the balance at that moment, a deposit that doubles the balance halves the percentage impact of every subsequent trade — that's the money-weighting in action.
If you added funds during a losing stretch, the Return curve's recovery will look better than the strategy earned, because later gains are measured against a larger base. For a clean read of trading skill, switch to the TWR series.
Close-to-close vs low-to-low
Every equity series is sampled once per day in one of two ways — and which one a metric uses is decided by the engine, not by you. The two names are parallel: each is [point]-to-[point], differing only in which point of the day they read.
- close-to-close — one value per day, taken at the day's close, the next day's return measured from one close to the next. The everyday end-of-day path.
- low-to-low — one value per day, taken at the day's intraday low (the worst point reached within the day), walked from one day's low to the next day's low. The worst-point path.
The rule: metrics that include a measure of risk use low-to-low; metrics not directly about risk use close-to-close. Risk lives in the intraday dips, so anything that judges downside, swings, or the shape of the return distribution reads the daily low rather than the polite close:
- low-to-low (risk-aware) — Sharpe, Sortino, Volatility, VaR, CVaR, Omega, and the distribution-shape metrics (skewness, kurtosis, tail ratio). They care about how far returns swing and how heavy the loss tail is.
- close-to-close (not risk) — total return, CAGR, win-days %, time under water, stability. They count days, measure the final level, or track the trend — the close is enough.
Both are still one observation per day (low-to-low just takes the day's worst point instead of its close), which is why annualization uses ≈252 observations/year — the number of trading days. The honest caveat: the intraday low is reconstructed from minute data, so its accuracy depends on the quality of that reconstruction.
Max drawdown is the one hybrid: its high-water mark is taken from the close (the intraday high never sets a new peak), but the depth below that peak is measured at the intraday low — the most conservative read on both ends.
Related series
The Return series is one of three equity curves. The TWR series removes cashflows; the P&L series drops percentages for absolute dollars. The per-trade Return axis is a different thing — it's a single trade's % result, not a cumulative curve.